Sunday, January 27, 2008

Howard comeback a failure

Seems as though he's still trying to dictate everything the Liberal party does.

FORMER prime minister John Howard attempted a comeback to the Liberal Party within weeks of his defeat in November's election, senior Liberals have revealed.

Several party sources have confirmed Mr Howard put himself forward as the next Liberal Party president to replace outgoing Chris McDiven.

"Howard contacted people to make it known he wanted the presidency," one source said.

But Mr Howard's candidacy was immediately scoffed at by senior Liberals. They were amazed he seemed to want a role so soon after the Liberals' worst defeat, senior sources said.

"They told him: don't be ridiculous," a source said.

"Howard wanted the presidency so that he could control the review process the party was conducting into why the Howard government lost and what needed to be done," one source said.

"He wanted to control the way the history of the Howard Government was written."


Full Story

Saturday, January 19, 2008

Morgan Poll: 61.5% - 38.5%

Roy Morgan has released the newest Federal poll, it's first for 2008, showing Labor with a honeymoon 2PP of 61.5%. This is up 1% on the last poll taken in December. Among the minor parties, support for the Greens is 8% (down 2.5% from the previous Morgan Poll), Family First 2% (down 0.5%), and Others 5.5% (up 2%).

Saturday, January 5, 2008

Your new (and not so new) members of the House of Representatives

Division State Member Party
Adelaide SA ELLIS, Kate Australian Labor Party
Aston VIC PEARCE, Chris Liberal
Ballarat VIC KING, Catherine Australian Labor Party
Banks NSW MELHAM, Daryl Australian Labor Party
Barker SA SECKER, Patrick Liberal
Barton NSW McCLELLAND, Robert Australian Labor Party
Bass TAS CAMPBELL, Jodie Australian Labor Party
Batman VIC FERGUSON, Martin Australian Labor Party
Bendigo VIC GIBBONS, Steve Australian Labor Party
Bennelong NSW McKEW, Maxine Australian Labor Party
Berowra NSW RUDDOCK, Philip Liberal
Blair QLD NEUMANN, Shayne Kenneth Australian Labor Party
Blaxland NSW CLARE, Jason Australian Labor Party
Bonner QLD REA, Kerry Australian Labor Party
Boothby SA SOUTHCOTT, Andrew Liberal
Bowman QLD LAMING, Andrew Liberal
Braddon TAS SIDEBOTTOM, Sid Australian Labor Party
Bradfield NSW NELSON, Brendan Liberal
Brand WA GRAY, Gary Australian Labor Party
Brisbane QLD BEVIS, Arch Australian Labor Party
Bruce VIC GRIFFIN, Alan Australian Labor Party
Calare NSW COBB, John The Nationals
Calwell VIC VAMVAKINOU, Maria Australian Labor Party
Canberra ACT ELLIS, Annette Australian Labor Party
Canning WA RANDALL, Don Liberal
Capricornia QLD LIVERMORE, Kirsten Australian Labor Party
Casey VIC SMITH, Tony Liberal
Charlton NSW COMBET, Greg Australian Labor Party
Chifley NSW PRICE, Roger Australian Labor Party
Chisholm VIC BURKE, Anna Australian Labor Party
Cook NSW MORRISON, Scott Liberal
Corangamite VIC CHEESEMAN, Darren Australian Labor Party
Corio VIC MARLES, Richard Australian Labor Party
Cowan WA SIMPKINS, Luke Liberal
Cowper NSW HARTSUYKER, Luke The Nationals
Cunningham NSW BIRD, Sharon Australian Labor Party
Curtin WA BISHOP, Julie Liberal
Dawson QLD BIDGOOD, James Australian Labor Party
Deakin VIC SYMON, Mike Australian Labor Party
Denison TAS KERR, Duncan Australian Labor Party
Dickson QLD DUTTON, Peter Liberal
Dobell NSW THOMSON, Craig Australian Labor Party
Dunkley VIC BILLSON, Bruce Liberal
Eden-Monaro NSW KELLY, Mike Australian Labor Party
Fadden QLD ROBERT, Stuart Liberal
Fairfax QLD SOMLYAY, Alex Liberal
Farrer NSW LEY, Sussan Liberal
Fisher QLD SLIPPER, Peter Liberal
Flinders VIC HUNT, Greg Liberal
Flynn QLD TREVOR, Chris Australian Labor Party
Forde QLD RAGUSE, Brett Blair Australian Labor Party
Forrest WA MARINO, Nola Liberal
Fowler NSW IRWIN, Julia Australian Labor Party
Franklin TAS COLLINS, Julie Australian Labor Party
Fraser ACT McMULLAN, Bob Australian Labor Party
Fremantle WA PARKE, Melissa Australian Labor Party
Gellibrand VIC ROXON, Nicola Australian Labor Party
Gilmore NSW GASH, Joanna Liberal
Gippsland VIC McGAURAN, Peter The Nationals
Goldstein VIC ROBB, Andrew Liberal
Gorton VIC O'CONNOR, Brendan Australian Labor Party
Grayndler NSW ALBANESE, Anthony Australian Labor Party
Greenway NSW MARKUS, Louise Liberal
Grey SA RAMSEY, Rowan Liberal
Griffith QLD RUDD, Kevin Australian Labor Party
Groom QLD MACFARLANE, Ian Liberal
Hasluck WA JACKSON, Sharryn Australian Labor Party
Herbert QLD LINDSAY, Peter Liberal
Higgins VIC COSTELLO, Peter Liberal
Hindmarsh SA GEORGANAS, Steve Australian Labor Party
Hinkler QLD NEVILLE, Paul The Nationals
Holt VIC BYRNE, Anthony Australian Labor Party
Hotham VIC CREAN, Simon Australian Labor Party
Hughes NSW VALE, Danna Liberal
Hume NSW SCHULTZ, Alby Liberal
Hunter NSW FITZGIBBON, Joel Australian Labor Party
Indi VIC MIRABELLA, Sophie Liberal
Isaacs VIC DREYFUS, Mark Australian Labor Party
Jagajaga VIC MACKLIN, Jenny Australian Labor Party
Kalgoorlie WA HAASE, Barry Liberal
Kennedy QLD KATTER, Bob Independent
Kingsford Smith NSW GARRETT, Peter Australian Labor Party
Kingston SA RISHWORTH, Amanda Australian Labor Party
Kooyong VIC GEORGIOU, Petro Liberal
La Trobe VIC WOOD, Jason Liberal
Lalor VIC GILLARD, Julia Australian Labor Party
Leichhardt QLD TURNOUR, Jim Australian Labor Party
Lilley QLD SWAN, Wayne Australian Labor Party
Lindsay NSW BRADBURY, David Australian Labor Party
Lingiari NT SNOWDON, Warren Australian Labor Party
Longman QLD SULLIVAN, Jon Australian Labor Party
Lowe NSW MURPHY, John Australian Labor Party
Lyne NSW VAILE, Mark The Nationals
Lyons TAS ADAMS, Dick Australian Labor Party
Macarthur NSW FARMER, Pat Liberal
Mackellar NSW BISHOP, Bronwyn Liberal
Macquarie NSW DEBUS, Bob Australian Labor Party
Makin SA ZAPPIA, Tony Australian Labor Party
Mallee VIC FORREST, John The Nationals
Maranoa QLD SCOTT, Bruce The Nationals
Maribyrnong VIC SHORTEN, Bill Australian Labor Party
Mayo SA DOWNER, Alexander Liberal
McEwen VIC BAILEY, Fran Liberal
McMillan VIC BROADBENT, Russell Liberal
McPherson QLD MAY, Margaret Liberal
Melbourne VIC TANNER, Lindsay Australian Labor Party
Melbourne Ports VIC DANBY, Michael Australian Labor Party
Menzies VIC ANDREWS, Kevin Liberal
Mitchell NSW HAWKE, Alex Liberal
Moncrieff QLD CIOBO, Steven Liberal
Moore WA WASHER, Mal Liberal
Moreton QLD PERRETT, Graham Australian Labor Party
Murray VIC STONE, Sharman Liberal
New England NSW WINDSOR, Tony Independent
Newcastle NSW GRIERSON, Sharon Australian Labor Party
North Sydney NSW HOCKEY, Joe Liberal
O'Connor WA TUCKEY, Wilson Liberal
Oxley QLD RIPOLL, Bernie Australian Labor Party
Page NSW SAFFIN, Janelle Australian Labor Party
Parkes NSW COULTON, Mark The Nationals
Parramatta NSW OWENS, Julie Australian Labor Party
Paterson NSW BALDWIN, Bob Liberal
Pearce WA MOYLAN, Judi Liberal
Perth WA SMITH, Stephen Australian Labor Party
Petrie QLD D'ATH, Yvette Australian Labor Party
Port Adelaide SA BUTLER, Mark Australian Labor Party
Prospect NSW BOWEN, Chris Australian Labor Party
Rankin QLD EMERSON, Craig Australian Labor Party
Reid NSW FERGUSON, Laurie Australian Labor Party
Richmond NSW ELLIOT, Justine Australian Labor Party
Riverina NSW HULL, Kay The Nationals
Robertson NSW NEAL, Belinda Australian Labor Party
Ryan QLD JOHNSON, Michael Liberal
Scullin VIC JENKINS, Harry Australian Labor Party
Shortland NSW HALL, Jill Australian Labor Party
Solomon NT HALE, Damian Australian Labor Party
Stirling WA KEENAN, Michael Liberal
Sturt SA PYNE, Christopher Liberal
Swan WA IRONS, Steve Liberal
Sydney NSW PLIBERSEK, Tanya Australian Labor Party
Tangney WA JENSEN, Dennis Liberal
Throsby NSW GEORGE, Jennie Australian Labor Party
Wakefield SA CHAMPION, Nick Australian Labor Party
Wannon VIC HAWKER, David Liberal
Warringah NSW ABBOTT, Tony Liberal
Watson NSW BURKE, Tony Australian Labor Party
Wentworth NSW TURNBULL, Malcolm Liberal
Werriwa NSW HAYES, Chris Australian Labor Party
Wide Bay QLD TRUSS, Warren The Nationals
Wills VIC THOMSON, Kelvin Australian Labor Party

Friday, January 4, 2008

Random Seat Report: Lindsay

Ahh Lindsay, home of pamphletgate. Lindsay was always going to swing enough for Labor to win the seat and I think the whole pamphlet fiasco didn't do much to change many people's votes in the seat. It may have changed other people's votes in other seats but not in Lindsay, if we have a look at the swing in seats around Lindsay and factor in the loss of Jackie Kelly's personal vote the swing looks about right.

Seat Swing to Labor
Lindsay 9.7%
Greenway 6.9%
Macquarie 6.6%
Chifley 8.7%
Prospect 7.1%
Fowler 4.9%


Taking a look at the 2PP and swing by booth doesn't throw up any suprises. Big swings in the traditional/state Labor voting (lower socio-economic) suburbs and smaller swings in the smaller rural/farming suburbs. In fact, the only booths (except 1)the Libs won were those smaller rural/farming booths - Castlereagh, Leonay, Llandilo, Mulgoa and Orchard Hills. They also won Regentville, which isn't that small at around 2400 voters. The biggest 2pp vote for the Libs was 68.9% at Orachard Hills.

The biggest swing to Labor was 13.83% at Kingswood South. There were also double digit swings in Braddock (Cranebrook), Cambridge Gardens, Cranebrook, Glenmore Park, Glenmore Park Central, Penrith, Penrith North, Penrith South, Regentville and Werrington. The rest of the booths besides the ones I mentioned earlier swung by between 7.2% and 9.99%. The biggest 2PP vote for Labor was 69.59% at St Marys North.

Looking at the results now, the 2PP vote for each looks similar to how I imagine it would look at the state election.

Saturday, December 29, 2007

2 party preferred by Demographic

Percentage swing to the Liberal/National Coalition using Two Party Preferred
State Inner Metropolitan Swing Outer Metropolitan Swing Provincial Swing Rural Swing Total Swing
NSW -4.44 -7.10 -6.82 -5.01 -5.61
VIC -1.99 -6.57 -5.13 -4.30 -4.76
QLD -4.48 -7.03 -7.56 -8.91 -7.53
WA -1.50 -1.95 -0.97 -4.09 -2.14
SA -6.26 -5.17 0.00 -8.52 -6.76
TAS -2.34 3.11 -3.63 -3.84 -2.02
ACT -1.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 -1.86
NT -3.00 0.00 0.00 -3.50 -3.26
NATIONAL -3.44 -5.99 -6.24 -6.03 -5.31

Final list of seats that have changed hands.

Now that all results are in and official we can see which seats have officially changed hands.



Electorate Held By Margin 2PP % Swing Status


Bass LIB 2.6 51.0 3.6% to ALP ALP GAIN


Bennelong LIB 4.1 51.4 5.5% to ALP ALP GAIN


Blair LIB 5.7 54.5 10.2% to ALP ALP GAIN


Bonner LIB 0.5 54.5 5.0% to ALP ALP GAIN


Braddon LIB 1.1 51.4 2.6% to ALP ALP GAIN


Corangamite LIB 5.3 50.9 6.2% to ALP ALP GAIN


Dawson NAT 10.0 53.2 13.2% to ALP ALP GAIN


Deakin LIB 5.0 51.4 6.4% to ALP ALP GAIN


Dobell LIB 4.8 53.9 8.7% to ALP ALP GAIN


Eden-Monaro LIB 3.3 53.4 6.7% to ALP ALP GAIN


Flynn NAT 7.7 50.2 7.9% to ALP ALP GAIN


Forde LIB 11.5 52.9 14.4% to ALP ALP GAIN


Hasluck LIB 1.8 51.3 3.1% to ALP ALP GAIN


Kingston LIB 0.1 54.4 4.5% to ALP ALP GAIN


Leichhardt LIB 10.3 54.0 14.3% to ALP ALP GAIN


Lindsay LIB 2.9 56.8 9.7% to ALP ALP GAIN


Longman LIB 6.7 53.6 10.3% to ALP ALP GAIN


Makin LIB 0.9 57.7 8.6% to ALP ALP GAIN


Moreton LIB 2.8 54.7 7.6% to ALP ALP GAIN


Page NAT 5.5 52.4 7.8% to ALP ALP GAIN


Parramatta * LIB 0.8 56.9 7.7% to ALP ALP GAIN


Petrie LIB 7.5 52.1 9.5% to ALP ALP GAIN


Robertson LIB 6.9 50.1 7.0% to ALP ALP GAIN


Solomon LIB 2.8 50.2 3.0% to ALP ALP GAIN


Wakefield LIB 0.7 56.6 7.3% to ALP ALP GAIN


Cowan ALP 0.8 51.7 2.5% to LIB LIB GAIN


Swan ALP 0.1 50.1 0.2% to LIB LIB GAIN

Sunday, December 23, 2007

Melbourne: How the citizens electoral council preferences pushed the Greens in front of the Libs

In the seat of Melbourne, the Greens polled less primary votes than the Liberals yet still ended up being there at the end for the 2PP vote. This is because they received a higher percentage of preferences than the Liberal candidate from everybody except Family First.
This is how is looked after primaries.
Candidate Party Votes % Swing (%)
REED, Andrew Citizens Electoral Council 586 0.67 +0.49
BANDT, Adam Australian Greens 19,967 22.80 +3.82
PEARSON, Georgia Family First 878 1.00 +0.12
MARSHALL, Will Socialist Equality Party 418 0.48 +0.48
DEL CIOTTO, Andrea Liberal 20,577 23.49 -1.60
WRIGHT, Tim Australian Democrats 1,255 1.43 -0.20
MCGREGOR, Kylie
539 0.62 +0.62
TANNER, LindsayRe-elected Australian Labor Party 43,363 49.51 -2.27

Below is how the preferences from each candidate flowed to the Labor, Liberal and Greens candidate.
Will Marshall (SEP): ALP 60 (14,35%), LIB 46 (11%), GRN 161 (38.52%)
Kylie McGregor (IND): ALP 116 (20.53%), LIB 66 (11.68%), 241 (42.65%)

At this stage it now looks like this
Lindsay Tanner (ALP) 43, 529 (49,71%)
Andrea Del Ciotto (LIB) 20, 689 (23.62%)
Adam Bandt (GRN) 20, 369 (23.26%)

Let's continue excluding candidates.

Andrew Reed (CEC) ALP 64 (9.61%), 41 (6.16%), GRN 422 (63.36%)

If we take a look at the votes now we can see the Greens are now in second place.
Lindsay Tanner (ALP) 43, 603 (49,78%)
Adam Bandt (GRN) 20, 791 (23.74%)
Andrea Del Ciotto (LIB) 20, 730 (23.67%)

Let's continue
Georgia Pearson (FFP): ALP 201 (18.82%), LIB 409 (38.3%), GRN 374 (35.02%)
Tim Wright (DEM): ALP 378 (25.63%), LIB 266 (18.03%), GRN 831 (56.34%)
Andrea Del Ciotto (LIB) ALP 3734 (17.44%) GRN 17,671 (82.56%)

This leaves us with a final 2PP of Labor 54.71% - Greens 45.29%. The 2 party preferred between Labor and Liberal from the 2004 election was 71.1% to 29.9% which means this seat has from very safe Labor (21.21%) to marginal Labor versus the Greens (4.71%).

2 party preffered flow.

No surprises here really. These are nation-wide results. State-by-state results will be posted later.

Party Liberal/National Coalition Australian Labor Party
Votes % Votes %
Liberal 23,299 85.45 3,967 14.55
The Greens 194,618 20.53 753,196 79.47
The Nationals 35,080 78.12 9,828 21.88
Family First 148,222 60.27 97,692 39.73
Democrats 33,319 37.63 55,236 62.37
One Nation 17,303 53.00 15,347 47.00
CDP Christian Party 72,835 69.56 31,870 30.44
Citizens Electoral Council 13,510 49.50 13,783 50.50
Socialist Alliance 3,872 38.82 6,101 61.18
The Fishing Party 993 47.67 1,090 52.33
DLP - Democratic Labor Party 1,893 31.46 4,125 68.54
Climate Change Coalition 4,131 43.62 5,339 56.38
Conservatives for Climate and Environment Incorporated 1,417 43.75 1,822 56.25
Liberty and Democracy Party 8,815 51.73 8,226 48.27
Non-Custodial Parents Party 388 48.81 407 51.19
Socialist Equality Party 1,676 43.36 2,189 56.64
What Women Want (Australia) 1,845 47.67 2,025 52.33
Independent 150,100 54.56 125,035 45.44
Non Affiliated 297 42.73 398 57.27

Saturday, December 22, 2007

Offical Senate Results

Party NSW VIC QLD WA SA TAS ACT NT Total
Liberal 2 3 2 3 2 2 1 0 15
Australian Labor Party 3 3 3 2 2 3 1 1 18
The Greens 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 3
The Nationals 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 2
CLP - The Territory Party 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1
Non Affiliated 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1

National
Group Votes % Swing
Australian Labor Party 5,101,200 40.30 +5.28
Liberal/Nationals 3,883,479 30.68 -3.55
Liberal 1,110,366 8.77 -1.63
The Greens 1,144,751 9.04 +1.37
Democrats 162,975 1.29 -0.80
Family First 204,788 1.62 -0.14
One Nation 52,708 0.42 -1.31
The Nationals 20,997 0.17 +0.06
CDP Christian Party 118,614 0.94 -0.24
DLP - Democratic Labor Party 115,966 0.92 +0.43
The Fishing Party 47,379 0.37 -0.05
CLP - The Territory Party 40,253 0.32 -0.03
Citizens Electoral Council 8,677 0.07 -0.14
Socialist Alliance 9,525 0.08 -0.03
Non-Custodial Parents Party 6,385 0.05 -0.05
Nuclear Disarmament Party of Australia 446 0.00 -0.02
Australian Fishing and Lifestyle Party 24,902 0.20 +0.20
Australian Shooters Party 38,216 0.30 +0.30
Carers Alliance 24,393 0.19 +0.19
Climate Change Coalition 78,763 0.62 +0.62
Conservatives for Climate and Environment 9,988 0.08 +0.08
Hear Our Voice 2,041 0.02 +0.02
LDP 16,942 0.13 +0.13
Pauline 141,268 1.12 +1.12
Senator On-Line 8,048 0.06 +0.06
Socialist Equality Party 4,542 0.04 +0.04
The Australian Shooters Party/Australian Fishing and Lifestyle Party 45,932 0.36 +0.36
What Women Want (Australia) 58,803 0.46 +0.46
Unendorsed/Ungrouped Amalgamated 174,458 1.38 -0.13
Senate Ghost Groups Amalgamated 0 0.00 -2.61
FORMAL 12,656,805 97.45 +1.20
INFORMAL 331,009 2.55 -1.20
TOTAL 12,987,814 95.18 +0.36

N.S.W
Group Votes % Swing Quota
Liberal/Nationals 1,649,014 39.33 -4.79 2.7528
Labor 1,764,040 42.07 +5.70 2.9448
The Greens 353,286 8.43 +1.09 0.5898
Christian Democratic Party (Fred Nile Group) 82,560 1.97 -0.64 0.1378
Democrats 37,193 0.89 -1.31 0.0621
One Nation 17,379 0.41 -1.48 0.0290
Family First 25,321 0.60 +0.04 0.0423
The Fishing Party 27,089 0.65 +0.11 0.0452
Socialist Alliance 3,351 0.08 -0.03 0.0056
Non-Custodial Parents Party (Equal Parenting) 2,538 0.06 -0.01 0.0042
Citizens Electoral Council 2,224 0.05 -0.01 0.0037
Carers Alliance 14,099 0.34 +0.34 0.0235
Climate Change Coalition 37,271 0.89 +0.89 0.0622
Conservatives for Climate and Environment 4,203 0.10 +0.10 0.0070
D.L.P. - Democratic Labor Party 52,977 1.26 +1.26 0.0884
Hear Our Voice 2,041 0.05 +0.05 0.0034
LDP 7,772 0.19 +0.19 0.0130
Pauline 39,807 0.95 +0.95 0.0665
Senator On-Line 2,257 0.05 +0.05 0.0038
Socialist Equality Party 2,139 0.05 +0.05 0.0036
The Australian Shooters Party/Australian Fishing and Lifestyle Party 45,932 1.10 +1.10 0.0767
What Women Want (Australia) 15,812 0.38 +0.38 0.0264
Unendorsed/Ungrouped Amalgamated 4,929 0.12 -0.38 0.0082
Senate Ghost Groups Amalgamated 0 0.00 -3.63 0.0000
FORMAL 4,193,234 97.76 +1.23
INFORMAL 96,210 2.24 -1.23
TOTAL 4,289,444 95.42 +0.31

Victoria
Group Votes % Swing Quota
Liberal/The Nationals 1,257,149 39.50 -4.60 2.7652
Australian Labor Party 1,327,076 41.70 +5.58 2.9191
Australian Greens 320,759 10.08 +1.28 0.7055
D.L.P. - Democratic Labor Party 32,930 1.03 -0.91 0.0724
Family First 80,100 2.52 +0.64 0.1762
Australian Democrats 52,596 1.65 -0.21 0.1157
One Nation 13,354 0.42 -0.30 0.0294
Citizens Electoral Council 1,697 0.05 -0.49 0.0037
Christian Democratic Party (Fred Nile Group) 7,100 0.22 -0.12 0.0156
Socialist Alliance 2,535 0.08 -0.08 0.0056
Non-Custodial Parents Party (Equal Parenting) 1,511 0.05 -0.06 0.0033
The Australian Shooters Party 21,398 0.67 +0.67 0.0471
Carers Alliance 3,901 0.12 +0.12 0.0086
Climate Change Coalition 24,759 0.78 +0.78 0.0545
Conservatives for Climate and Environment 4,216 0.13 +0.13 0.0093
LDP 3,044 0.10 +0.10 0.0067
Senator On-Line 3,106 0.10 +0.10 0.0068
Socialist Equality Party 2,403 0.08 +0.08 0.0053
What Women Want (Australia) 14,028 0.44 +0.44 0.0309
Unendorsed/Ungrouped Amalgamated 8,707 0.27 -0.13 0.0192
Senate Ghost Groups Amalgamated 0 0.00 -3.03 0.0000
FORMAL 3,182,369 96.72 +1.85
INFORMAL 107,850 3.28 -1.85
TOTAL 3,290,219 95.59 +0.16

Queensland
Group Votes % Swing Quota
Liberal/The Nationals 977,316 40.40 -4.50 2.8282
Australian Labor Party 948,145 39.20 +7.55 2.7438
The Greens 177,063 7.32 +1.92 0.5124
Family First 53,249 2.20 -1.17 0.1541
One Nation WA 4,174 0.17 -2.97 0.0121
Democrats 45,584 1.88 -0.32 0.1319
The Fishing Party 20,290 0.84 -0.44 0.0587
Non-Custodial Parents Party (Equal Parenting) 1,390 0.06 -0.13 0.0040
Citizens Electoral Council 1,155 0.05 -0.10 0.0033
Socialist Alliance 1,941 0.08 -0.02 0.0056
Australian Fishing and Lifestyle Party 19,131 0.79 +0.79 0.0554
The Australian Shooters Party 12,845 0.53 +0.53 0.0372
Christian Democratic Party (Fred Nile Group) 6,289 0.26 +0.26 0.0182
Carers 4,822 0.20 +0.20 0.0140
Climate Change Coalition 8,818 0.36 +0.36 0.0255
D.L.P. - Democratic Labor Party 7,265 0.30 +0.30 0.0210
LDP 3,890 0.16 +0.16 0.0113
Pauline 101,461 4.19 +4.19 0.2936
Senator On-Line 1,251 0.05 +0.05 0.0036
What Women Want (Australia) 17,370 0.72 +0.72 0.0503
Unendorsed/Ungrouped Amalgamated 5,458 0.23 -5.37 0.0158
Senate Ghost Groups Amalgamated 0 0.00 -2.02 0.0000
FORMAL 2,418,907 97.66 +0.45
INFORMAL 57,912 2.34 -0.45
TOTAL 2,476,819 94.81 +0.68

W.A
Group Votes % Swing Quota
Liberal 555,868 46.22 -3.12 3.2351
Australian Labor Party 433,046 36.00 +3.48 2.5203
The Greens 111,813 9.30 +1.24 0.6507
One Nation WA 11,623 0.97 -1.48 0.0676
Australian Democrats 12,604 1.05 -0.95 0.0734
Christian Democratic Party 21,179 1.76 -0.12 0.1233
Nationals 17,365 1.44 +0.58 0.1011
Family First 10,341 0.86 +0.01 0.0602
Citizens Electoral Council 1,002 0.08 -0.11 0.0058
Non-Custodial Parents Party (Equal Parenting) 946 0.08 -0.07 0.0055
Carers Alliance 1,571 0.13 +0.13 0.0091
Climate Change Coalition 3,461 0.29 +0.29 0.0201
Conservatives for Climate and Environment 1,569 0.13 +0.13 0.0091
D.L.P. - Democratic Labor Party 11,390 0.95 +0.95 0.0663
LDP 591 0.05 +0.05 0.0034
Senator On-Line 824 0.07 +0.07 0.0048
Socialist Alliance 928 0.08 +0.08 0.0054
What Women Want (Australia) 3,533 0.29 +0.29 0.0206
Unendorsed/Ungrouped Amalgamated 3,096 0.26 -0.22 0.0180
Senate Ghost Groups Amalgamated 0 0.00 -1.23 0.0000
FORMAL 1,202,750 97.58 +1.12
INFORMAL 29,797 2.42 -1.12
TOTAL 1,232,547 93.88 +0.22

S.A
Group Votes % Swing Quota
Liberal 355,237 35.28 -12.21 2.4698
Australian Labor Party 358,615 35.62 +0.13 2.4933
The Greens 65,322 6.49 -0.11 0.4542
Family First Party 29,114 2.89 -1.09 0.2024
Australian Democrats 8,908 0.88 -1.51 0.0619
One Nation 6,178 0.61 -0.53 0.0430
National Party 3,632 0.36 -0.04 0.0253
Socialist Alliance 770 0.08 -0.05 0.0054
Australian Fishing and Lifestyle Party 5,771 0.57 +0.57 0.0401
The Australian Shooters Party 3,973 0.39 +0.39 0.0276
Christian Democratic Party (Fred Nile Group) 1,486 0.15 +0.15 0.0103
Citizens Electoral Council 267 0.03 +0.03 0.0019
Climate Change Coalition 3,131 0.31 +0.31 0.0218
D.L.P. - Democratic Labor Party 9,343 0.93 +0.93 0.0650
LDP 798 0.08 +0.08 0.0055
Senator On-Line 610 0.06 +0.06 0.0042
What Women Want (Australia) 4,114 0.41 +0.41 0.0286
Unendorsed/Ungrouped Amalgamated 149,540 14.85 +14.28 1.0397
Senate Ghost Groups Amalgamated 0 0.00 -1.82 0.0000
FORMAL 1,006,809 97.62 +1.15
INFORMAL 24,511 2.38 -1.15
TOTAL 1,031,320 95.85 +0.49

Tasmania
Group Votes % Swing Quota
Liberal 122,203 37.39 -8.74 2.6172
Australian Labor Party 131,055 40.10 +6.56 2.8067
The Greens 59,254 18.13 +4.84 1.2690
Family First 6,663 2.04 -0.34 0.1427
Citizens Electoral Council 313 0.10 -0.06 0.0067
D.L.P. - Democratic Labor Party 2,061 0.63 +0.63 0.0441
LDP 302 0.09 +0.09 0.0065
What Women Want (Australia) 2,540 0.78 +0.78 0.0544
Unendorsed/Ungrouped Amalgamated 2,455 0.75 -2.28 0.0526
Senate Ghost Groups Amalgamated 0 0.00 -1.48 0.0000
FORMAL 326,846 97.37 +0.74
INFORMAL 8,830 2.63 -0.74
TOTAL 335,676 95.97 +0.07

A.C.T
Group Votes % Swing Quota
Australian Labor Party 92,018 40.84 -0.26 1.2251
Liberal 77,058 34.20 -3.67 1.0260
The Greens 48,384 21.47 +5.11 0.6442
Australian Democrats 4,141 1.84 -0.30 0.0551
Climate Change Coalition 1,323 0.59 +0.59 0.0176
LDP 545 0.24 +0.24 0.0073
Nuclear Disarmament Party of Australia 446 0.20 +0.20 0.0059
What Women Want (Australia) 1,406 0.62 +0.62 0.0187
Unendorsed/Ungrouped Amalgamated 0 0.00 -0.42 0.0000
Senate Ghost Groups Amalgamated 0 0.00 -2.10 0.0000
FORMAL 225,321 98.30 +0.76
INFORMAL 3,905 1.70 -0.76
TOTAL 229,226 96.01 +0.80

N.T
Group Votes % Swing Quota
Northern Territory Country Liberal Party 40,253 40.03 -5.37 1.2007
Australian Labor Party (Northern Territory) Branch 47,205 46.94 +5.57 1.4081
The Greens 8,870 8.82 +1.22 0.2646
Australian Democrats 1,949 1.94 -2.79 0.0581
Citizens Electoral Council of Australia 2,019 2.01 +2.01 0.0602
Unendorsed/Ungrouped Amalgamated 273 0.27 -0.02 0.0081
Senate Ghost Groups Amalgamated 0 0.00 -0.62 0.0000
FORMAL 100,569 98.06 +1.18
INFORMAL 1,994 1.94 -1.18
TOTAL 102,563 86.99 +2.58
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