NSW Elections: Final results and some charts

The final results for the NSe by-elections are in the post below. Labor has held on in Lakemba and Cabramatta despite huge swings. The Liberals have won Ryde, while Peter Besseling has won Port Macquarie thanks to help from the Liberal party.

Cabramatta Primary vote and swing.


Lakemba Primary Vote and Swing


Port Macquarie Primary Vote and Swing
(Peter Besseling's swing is the swing compared to Rob Oakeshott's vote and is used for comparison)


Ryde Primary Vote and Swing

Cabramatta Polling Places

UNDIVIDED
Premises	Address	Unique Polling Place Name
Bonnyrigg High School	Elizabeth Drive, Bonnyrigg NSW 2177	Bonnyrigg High
Bonnyrigg Public School	Tarlington Parade, Bonnyrigg NSW 2177	Bonnyrigg
Cabramatta Community Hall	McBurney Road, Cabramatta NSW 2166	Cabravale
Cabramatta High School	Aladore Avenue, Cabramatta NSW 2166	Cabramatta High
Cabramatta Public School	Levuka Street, Cabramatta NSW 2166	Cabramatta East
Cabramatta West Public School	Broad Street, Cabramatta NSW 2166	Cabramatta West
Cabramatta/Fairfield PCYC	Railway Parade, Cabramatta NSW 2166	Cabramatta
Canley Heights Public School	Cambridge Street, Canley Heights NSW 2166	Canley Heights
Canley Vale High School	Prospect Road, Canley Vale NSW 2166	Canley Vale High
Canley Vale Public School	Canley Vale Road, Canley Vale NSW 2166	Canley Vale
Harrington Street Public School	Harrington Street, Cabramatta NSW 2166	Harrington Street
King Park Public School	Humphries Road, Wakeley NSW 2176	Wakeley
Lansvale East Public School	Riverside Road, Lansvale NSW 2166	Lansvale East
Lansvale Public School	Chancery Street, Canley Vale NSW 2166	Lansvale
Mount Pritchard East Public School	Townview Road, Mount Pritchard NSW 2170	Mount Pritchard East
Mount Pritchard Public School	104-122 Meadows Road, Mount Pritchard NSW 2170	Mount Pritchard
St Johns Park Public School	Sandringham Street, St Johns Park NSW 2176	St Johns Park

How-To-Vote: Cabramatta

Greens

Liberals

Labor


EDIT: Received the Greens HTVs. thank you to the Greens NSW for them. If you know of any others available online or have a copy and would be be able to scan please let me know by commenting her or emailain: australiavotes2007 @ hotmail . com or pauly_aus @ hotmail. com (remove the spaces)

A closer look at the NSW by-elections: Cabramatta

Former Member
Former Health Minister Reba Meagher held this seat from 1994 until her resignation. Reba was quite popular until she became Health Minister and was blamed for everything wrong with the Hospital system.
Area
Cabramatta includes the suburbs of Cabramatta, Canley Vale, Lansvale, St Johns Park, Mount Pritchard and Bonnyrigg.
History
Cabramatta was created in 1981 and has always been held by the Labor party. Labor's highest prmary vote was in 1981 where they got 74% in a 2-horse race. The Liberals highest primary vote was in 1988 (40.3%). Labor's lowest primary vote was 49.3 in 1999 (49.3%), which is when the Liberals also recorded their lowest primary vote of just 8.2%. During this election the Unity Party 13.8% with others on 19.4% including Markus Lambert who got 14.91% and ended up with 31.13% of the 2PP vote.

At the 2007 election Reba was re-elcted with 69.1% of the primary vote and 79% of the 2PP.

Candidates
Labor - Popular Fairfield Mayor Nick Lalich
Liberal - Dai Le - Partner of Markus Lambert who ran in 1999 as an independent and got 14.9% of the vote. Born in Vietnam. Former documentary producer for ABC radio national.
Greens - Fairfield council candidate Lindsay Langlands, Lindsay works in a women's crisis centre.
CDP - Doug Morrison - Contested Auburn at the 1995 state election and Parramatta in 2007.
Alasdair McDonald - Member of the Communist League. Contested Parramatta at the 2007 Federal Election.

Prediction
Labor retain. Nick Lalich's presonal vote should see the swing in Cabramatta not as high as it could be with an unknown. Having said that seats normally do swing quite highly at by-elections. Will swing to the Liberal party but not by the 29% needed for Labor to lose. Expect the Greens primary to grow to around 10%, maybe more.