The AEC does not have preference flows for individual seats yet but we can work out rough estimations if we want to, I won't be doing that today. What I will be doing is showing the preference flows for those seats which had only 3 candidates, this way we can bee 100% sure that the figure is accurate.
Seat | Green to ALP % | Green to Lib % | GRN to ALP % 07 |
Barton | 76.1 | 23.9 | 70.7 |
Braddon | 73.5 | 26.5 | 74.3 |
Bradfield | 77.2 | 22.8 | 78.6 |
Canberra | 80.3 | 19.7 | 79.4 |
Mackellar | 78.6 | 21.4 | 82.7 |
Werriwa | 61.6 | 38.4 | 78.3 |
Interestingly, the only one of the above seat where the Greens HTV didn't reccommend a 2nd prefernce to Labor was Canberra which saw the highest flow. Also interesting is the small prefernce flow in Werriwa, I believe this is due to a pretty high donkey-vote there, with people 1 Green, 2 Liberal, 3 Labor down the ballot.
Werriwa result can also be put down to Laurie Ferguson replacing Chris Hayes, and this being a pretty unpopular move by the ALP
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