Tasmanian Election Final results (progressively updated)

FINAL UPDATE.
Full list of candidates and the order in which they were elected.

Bass - Ferguson (LIB), M O'Byrne (ALP), Gutewin (LIB), Booth (GRN). Wightman (ALP)

Braddon - Green (ALP), Rockliff (LIB), Best (ALP), Brooks (LIB), O'Halloran (GRN)

Denison - O'Connor (GRN), Bartlett (ALP), Groom (LIB), Bacon (ALP), Archer (LIB)

Franklin - Hodgman (LIB), McKim (GRN), Giddings (ALP), D O'Byrne (ALP), Petrusma (LIB)

Lyons - Morris (GRN), Hidding (LIB), Shelton (LIB), Polley (ALP), White (ALP)

SA and Tas elections: Still counting.

UPDATE: 9:40pm Thursday - Fox (ALP) has taken the lead in Bright. She has gone from trailing Kourtesis (LIB) by 6 to leading by 144


UPDATE: 3:30pm Wednesday - Isobel Redmond has conceded defeat.


UPDATE: 5pm Tuesday - The latest Bright update sees Maria Kourtesis (LIB) leading Chloe Fox (ALP) by just 6 votes on the 2PP vote.

UPDATE: 5:05pm - Mount Gambier - Don Pegler (IND) ahead of Steve Perryman (LIB) by 724 votes on 2PP. Just waiting for postals there.

Tasmania looks like going 10-10-5 (although iElect thinks it could go 11 ALP, 8 LIB, 5 GRN and 1 IND (Andrew Wilkie)

In SA, the ALP has held on despite a pretty swing to the Liberal Party as the swing was big in safe ALP and LIB seats but quite small in the marginals. The final make up in SA looks like 25 ALP, 18 LIB and 4 IND. The Upper House in SA looks as though it will be 4 ALP, 4 LIB, 1 GRN, 1 FF and 1 Dignity for Disability.


As I said, counting is still taking place and these results may change. The most likely change would be the last spot in SA Upper House as the ABC computer counts differently to the SAEC and D4D may not be ahead in certain parts of the count using the SAEC method.

Will update when I have more news.

SA and TAS elections: Live from the battle ground.

Tweets, pics, news etc from people at the scene.

2:15pm - ABC getting the tally room ready.

11:55am - Sarah Hanson-Young helping the Greens in Waite. (SA)












11:50am - Not much chatter happening at the moment but it is early days.

SA and TAS predictions

During my seat by seat preview of the Tasmanian election I ended up predicting 10 ALP 10 LIB and 5 GRN I will stick with that because I don't like changing predictions. in SA my prediction is that the ALP will just hold on but it seems like it's going to be very, very close.


Results will be posted here and tweeted when they are available.

Want a free Oz Lotto Ticket? Vote for Tim Parish.

It's true. Tim Parish is trying to bribe his way into office. Below are some screenshots from Tim's website in which he says the following

GIVE ME YOUR No. 1 VOTE & I WILL WORK FOR YOU

I understand that getting elected as an independent maybe as difficult as winning the lottery. In recognition of this, if elected, I will give every registered voter in the electorate of Bass one (1) Super 7 Oz Lotto ticket irrespective of whether they voted for me.

Now, Tim may think he can flout the rules by saying that everyone gets a ticket whether they vote for him or not but I'm almost certain this is still classed as "bribing" or "buying votes". any lawyer or Electoral Officer/Commissioner want to correct me? Here are the "terms & conditions" (I've made the text bigger)on Tim's site and below are the screen shots.

(More on this here)

UPDATE: Tasmania's Electoral Commissioner has said this is lawful. I'll repeat that, he said it IS lawful

Terms and Conditions of Election Coupon

1. For the purposes of these Terms and Conditions the following words have the following meanings: “Coupon” means this election brochure distributed by Parish “Parish” means Timothy Noel Parish of 75 Low Head Road, George Town “Eligible Person” means a person who is recorded on the electoral roll as being resident Within the electorate of Bass in Tasmania and has not already redeemed a Coupon; and “Ticket” means one (1) mid week Super 7 Lotto ticket to the value of $1.10.2. An Eligible Person may redeem the Coupon in exchange for a Ticket, PROVIDED THAT: (a) Parish is duly elected in the electorate of Bass as a member of the House of Assembly of Parliament in the Tasmanian State Election to be held on 20 March 2010; (b) The limitation period for disputing the election of Parish pursuant to the Electoral Act 2004 (“Act”) has expired. (c) There is no application before any Court, Tribunal or like forum disputing the Election of Parish. 3. An Eligible Person may only redeem this Coupon by: (a) Attending at the locations, dates and times to be advertised in the Examiner Newspaper on the Wednesday following the date on which all of the events specified in clause 2 have been satisfied. (b) presenting this Coupon together with photo identification of themselves to Parish; 4. Notwithstanding any part of these Terms and Conditions, Parish may refuse to redeem the Coupon for a Ticket in the event that, in his opinion: (a) The Coupon is not genuine; or(b) The person seeking to redeem this Coupon is not an Eligible Person. 5. This Coupon is valid for three (3) months following the date on which all of the events specified in clause 2 have been satisfied. 6. An Eligible Person cannot redeem this Coupon for a Ticket other than in accordance with these Terms and Conditions.

Tasmanian State Election preview - Lyons

Lyons

Area
Largest electorate in size covering just under half the state.Mostly made up of parts that didn't fit in other seats.

(Click for bigger)

Retirements
None

Elected 2006
1. Michael Polley (ALP)
2. David Llewellyn (ALP)
3. Rene Hidding (LIB)
4. Heather Butler (ALP)
5. Tim Morris (GRN)

2006 Vote
ALP - 51.9%
LIB - 29.96%
GRN - 15.82%
TF - 1.44%
UNG - 0.88%

Candidates
A. GRN - Karen Cassidy, Jackie Graham, Tim Morris, Sharon Prior, Karl Stevens
B. LIB - Leigh Gray, Rene Hidding, Jane Howlett, Jim Playstead, Mark Shelton
C. ALP - Heather Butler, David Llewellyn, Michael Polley, Brendan Sullivan, Rebecca White, Nick Wright


Prediction
2 ALP, 2 LIB, 1 GRN
(I made my prediction for all seats about a 2 weeks ago and am not going to change them during the campiagn, this may result in the predictions being way off)

Feel like making a prediction? Leave a comment and let me know.

Tasmanian State Election Preview - Franklin

Franklin
Area
Franklin is split in 2 parts by and surrounds Denison.Most of the voters in Franklin are from Calrence City and parts of Brighton. Other parts include Kingston, Huon Valley and Macquarie Island.

(Click for bigger)

Retirements
None (Paul Lennon and Paula Wriedt have both resigned since the 2006 election)

Elected 2006
1. Paul Lennon (ALP)
2. Will Hodgman (LIB)
3. Nick McKIm (GRN)
4. Lara Giddings (ALP)
5. Paula Wriedt (ALP)

2006 Vote
ALP - 47.17%
LIB - 31.37%
GRN - 19.42%
SA - 0.40%
Ungrouped - 1.65%

Candidates

(Links are to either candidate website, facebook page or twitter page to help you make an informed decision.Where no link is available I will provide a small snippet about the candidate and/or policies. Candidates are listed in alphabetical order, on the ballot the order is randomised and will vary from ballot to ballot)
A. GRN - Deborah Brewer, Adam Burling, Mark Harrison, Wendy Heatley, Nick McKim
B. SA - Jenny Forward
C. ALP - Ross Butler, Kate Churchill, Lara Giddings, Daniel Hulme, David O'Byrne
D. LIB - David Compton, Will Hodgman, Jillian Law, Tony Mulder, Jacquie Petrusma
Ungrouped - John Forster


John Forster is an accountant.


Prediction
2 ALP, 2 LIB, 1 GRN
(I made my prediction for all seats about a week & half ago and am not going to change them during the campiagn, this may result in the predictions being way off)

Feel like making a prediction? Leave a comment and let me know. 

Tasmanian State Election preview - Denison

Denison
Area
Denison covers Glenorchy and Hobart and extends from Austins Ferry  to Browns River at Kingston. It also contains a small part of Kingbourough council.

Retirements
Michael Hodgman (LIB)

Elected 2006
1. Peg Putt (GRN)
2. Michael Hodgman (LIB)
3. David Bartlett (ALP)
4. Lisa Singh (ALP)
5. Graeme Sturges (ALP)
(Cassy O'Connor (GRN) was elected in 2008 to replace Peg Putt.

2006 Vote
ALP - 46.94%
LIB - 26.55%
GRN - 24.07%
IND - 0.72%
TFP - 0.53%
SA - 0.39%
OTH - 0.81%

Candidates
(Links are to either candidate website, facebook page or twitter page to help you make an informed decision.Where no link is available I will provide a small snippet about the candidate and/or policies. Candidates are listed in alphabetical order, on the ballot the order is randomised and will vary from ballot to ballot)
A. IND - Andrew Wilkie
B. ALP - Scott Bacon, David Bartlett, Madeline Ogilvie, Lisa Singh,Graeme Sturges
C. LIB - Elise Archer, Jenny Branch, Matthew Groom, Richard Lowrie, Matt Stevenson
D. GRN - Penelope Ann, Helen Burnet, Peter Cover, Katrika Franks, Cassy O'Connor
E. SA - Melanie Barnes

Prediction
2 ALP, 2 LIB, 1 GRN
(I made my prediction for all seats about a week & half ago and am not going to change them during the campiagn, this may result in the predictions being way off)

Feel like making a prediction? Leave a comment and let me know.

Tasmanian State Election preview - Braddon

Braddon
Area
Braddon encompasses the West and North West Coasts of Tasmania. The cities of Burnie and Devonport are included. Other major towns are Currie, Latrobe, Penguin, Rosebery, Queenstown, Smithton, Stanley, Strahan, Ulverstone, Waratah,  Wynyard and Zeehan. King Island is also in Braddon.

Retirements
Steve Kons (ALP)


Elected 2006
1. Bryan Green (ALP)
2. Jeremy Rockliff (LIB)
3. Steve Kons (ALP)
4. Brenton Best (ALP)
5. Brett Whiteley (LIB)


2006 Vote
ALP - 50.84%
LIB - 37.27%
GRN - 10.31%
IND - 1.58%


Candidates
(Links are to either candidate website, facebook page or twitter page to help you make an informed decision.Where no link is available I will provide a small snippet about the candidate and/or policies. Candidates are listed in alphabetical order, on the ballot the order is randomised and will vary from ballot to ballot)
A. ALP - Brenton Best, Shane Broad, Kay Eastley, Bryan Green, Judy Richmond
B. GRN - Ted Field, Claire Gilmour, David Henderson, Melissa Houghton, Paul O'Halloran
C. LIB - Adam Brooks, Grant Dunham, Leonie Hiscutt, Colin Lamont, Philip Lamont, Jeremy Rockliff, Brett Whiteley
Ungrouped - Valerie Blake, Jeremy Kidd


Valerie Blake is Domestic Engineer
Jeremy Kidd is a clown and mime.


Prediction
2 ALP, 2 LIB, 1 GRN
(I made my prediction for all seats about a week & half ago and am not going to change them during the campiagn, this may result in the predictions being way off)


Feel like making a prediction? Leave a comment and let me know. 

Tasmanian State Election preview - Bass

Bass
Area
The majority of Bass voters live in Launceston.With the rest coming from Georgetown Council, Dorset Council and the Furneaux group of Islands.

Retirements
Jim Cox (ALP)
Sue Napier (LIB)

Elected 2006
1. Michelle O'Byrne (ALP)
2. Jim Cox (ALP)
3. Peter Gutwein (LIB)
4. Sue Napier (LIB)
5. Kim Booth (GRN)

2006 Vote
ALP - 49.6%
LIB - 33.8%
GRN - 13.6%
OTH - 3.0%

Candidates 
(Links are to either candidate website, facebook page or twitter page to help you make an informed decision.Where no link is available I will provide a small snippet about the candidate and/or policies. Candidates are listed in alphabetical order, on the ballot the order is randomised and will vary from ballot to ballot))

A. ALP - Michelle Cripps, Scott McLean, Michelle O'Byrne, Brant Webb, Brian Wightman
B. GNS -  Jeremy Ball, Kim Booth, Sally Day, Beverly Ernst, Peter Whish-Wilson
C. LIB - Pamela Dakin, Michael Ferguson, Peter Gutwein, Michele McGinty, Nick Pedley
Ungrouped - Jim Collier, Peter Kaye, Tim Parish, Mark Webb, Sven Wiener

Jim Collier is a "river campiagner" and round-the-world yachtsman. He wants to abolish parlimanet.
Tim Parish is a George Town councillor.
Mark Webb is an investor
Sven Wiener has been describer as both a "dairy farmer" and "property developer"

Prediction
2 ALP, 2 LIB, 1 GRN
(I made my prediction for all seats about a week & half ago and am not going to change them during the campiagn, this may result in the predictions being way off)


Feel like making a prediction? Leave a comment and let me know.

89 candidates to contest Tasmanian election.

89 candidates will contest the Tasmanian state election on the 20th on March. This is down from 95 in 06 and 112 in 02.

Breakdown:
Bass - 20, Braddon - 19, Denison & Franklin 17, Lyons - 16.

Labor - 26 (6 Lyons, 5 all others)
Liberals - 27 (7 Braddon, 5 all others)
Greens - 25 (5 in each)
Independent - 9 (5 Bass, 2 Braddon, 1 Denison, 1 Franklin, 0 Lyons)
Socialist Alliance - 2 (1 Denison, 1 Franklin)

Andrew Wilkie got the 100 required signatures to get a group column and drew column A in Denison.

Tasmanians - comment to your heart's content.

All comments on this blog for the Tasmanian 2010 state election have been authorised by me (in the footer) all you Tasmanians who want to comment on the election but don't want to give out your personal details here is your opportunity. The authorisation whill show up on any page so you don't have to confine the comments to this post.

Tasmania's "Internet Commentary Guidelines" (Section 191)

Basically they suck.

Section 191 of the Tasmanian Electoral Act reads as follows

"Under section 191(1)(b) of the Electoral Act 2004, all electoral matter published on the internet between the issue of the writ for an election and the close of poll at that election must contain the name and address of the responsible person at the end.
Address means a street address (not a post office box or an electronic address) at which the responsible person resides or can be readily contacted.
Responsible person means the person taking responsibility for causing electoral matter to be published.
The Electoral Commissioner recommends that at a minimum, candidates and other persons with websites (including ‘facebook’ pages) containing electoral matter, should ensure that the name and address of the responsible person appears on each page.
Eg, an appropriate place to include authorisation on a website would be on a footer, or on a ‘facebook’ page, may be in the box where you can “write something about yourself”, which appears under the photo spot in the top left hand corner."

Not only is this practically unworkable for website and blog owners who have to check if each commentator lives in Tasmania or authorise all comments on everyone's behalf, I believe it is an attack on freedom of speech. I took a look at the Australian constitution and consituational law cases and in my opinion this law could be challenged using "implied right to freedom of communication on political matters" I'm not a lawyer so I could be way off but I think a civil liberties group should give it a go.

This law is very similar to the one SA had in effect until a media outcry. Why is there no outcry here?

Bleeter (@iBleeter) (and myself) are basically the only ones making a fuss about it on Twitter, while Bleeter has also made some brilliant posts on his blog about it. Go check them out

Seems to me whoever came up with Section 191(1)(b) needs a Section 8. (There's my M*A*S*H reference for the day.)



EDIT: Thought I should mention I've asked a question of Bartlett on Twitter. So far, no reply.

Authorised by: My Implied Right to Freedom of Communication on Political Matters. High Court, Canberra