Some Hubdub predictions about the U.S Election.

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My Prediction

Which state will have the highest Voter Turnout percentage?

I predicted Illinois   
on 3rd Nov 08

More predictions by me: australiavotes

Hubdub - The World's News Forecaster

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My Prediction

Who will win North Carolina in the 2008 Presidential Election?

I predicted McCain   
on 3rd Nov 08

More predictions by me: australiavotes

Hubdub - The World's News Forecaster

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My Prediction

How many of these "straight" states will Senator McCain carry?

I predicted McCain carries any 3 of CO, WY, UT or NM   
on 3rd Nov 08

More predictions by me: australiavotes

Hubdub - The World's News Forecaster

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My Prediction

What margin will the Electoral count be in the 2008 Presidential election?

I predicted Democrat wins by 35-59   
on 29th Oct 08

More predictions by me: australiavotes

Hubdub - The World's News Forecaster

qmwztlxb3

what is this?

My Prediction

What margin will the Electoral count be in the 2008 Presidential election?

I predicted Democrat wins by 15-34   
on 29th Oct 08

More predictions by me: australiavotes

Hubdub - The World's News Forecaster

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My Prediction

What margin will the Electoral count be in the 2008 Presidential election?

I predicted Democrat wins by 1-14   
on 22nd Oct 08

More predictions by me: australiavotes

Hubdub - The World's News Forecaster

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My Prediction

ELECTION 2008: What will be the ELECTORAL MARGIN between Obama and McCain?

I predicted 45 Electoral Votes or Less   
on 25th Oct 08

More predictions by me: australiavotes

Hubdub - The World's News Forecaster

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My Prediction

Who will win Nevada in the 2008 presidential election?

I predicted McCain   
on 22nd Oct 08

More predictions by me: australiavotes

Hubdub - The World's News Forecaster

Interactive U.S Election maps.

CNN
ElectoralVote.com
ABC Australia
The Australian
NewsHour
Pollster
Hubdub
270towin
Yahoo

U.S Presidential Election - If the Bradley effect comes in to play.

I decided to use CNN's election calculator and pick the winner of each state using latest polls taking 5 percentage points away from Obama's vote to see what would happen if the Bradlet effect comes in to play. The general thought is that it's about 7% but experts are divided as to whether the Bradley effect is still in play so I've gone for 5%. This is not my prediction or even scitentifically accurate, it's a rough guide to what may happen if the Bradley effect comes in to play.

Using date from pollster.com and factoring 5% for the Bradley effect we end up with 276 electoral votes to Obama (270 needed to win) and 262 for McCain.

US Election: Obama ahead 348 - 163 according to Hubdub

Hubdub, a world news prediction/forecast website, has Obama ahead 388 electoral votes to 163.

Here is what their website says about their 'widget'

Hubdub's Election Map is different - it's not a poll. It's based on 51 underlying prediction markets that respond in real-time to breaking news, so the forecasts are continually updated.

Click on any state to see its interactive prediction market, or scroll down to make your predictions state-by-state.

The total Electoral Count is constantly updated based on the current standing in each state.

Here's the widget.

US Election: Intrade Prediction Markets

Intrade attempts to predict the outcome of the US Election based on Intrade state-by-state market prices.

Leaning allots each states electoral votes fully to the market leader.
Average allots each states in a weighting determined by the market.
For example: If in Wisconcin, which has 10 electoral votes, the Intrade market values are Democrat 60 - Republican 40, leaning allots all electoral to Democrat while average allots 6 electoral votes to Democrat and 4 to Republican.