SA Legislative Council update.

The ABC calculator has been updated and now has 92.64% of the votes counted. It is still predicting that Dignity For Disability will win the 11th spot. However, Antony Green has warned that it counts all below the line votes as formal whereas the SAEC is now starting to decide which are informal. Antony says between a 3rd and 1/2 of all below the line votes will be declared informal and this will lower the minor party vote. No other minor party can get ahead of D4D but if the vote is lowered enough due to votes being declared informal they may fall short and elect either another Labor or Liberal candidate.

SA and Tas elections: Still counting.

UPDATE: 9:40pm Thursday - Fox (ALP) has taken the lead in Bright. She has gone from trailing Kourtesis (LIB) by 6 to leading by 144


UPDATE: 3:30pm Wednesday - Isobel Redmond has conceded defeat.


UPDATE: 5pm Tuesday - The latest Bright update sees Maria Kourtesis (LIB) leading Chloe Fox (ALP) by just 6 votes on the 2PP vote.

UPDATE: 5:05pm - Mount Gambier - Don Pegler (IND) ahead of Steve Perryman (LIB) by 724 votes on 2PP. Just waiting for postals there.

Tasmania looks like going 10-10-5 (although iElect thinks it could go 11 ALP, 8 LIB, 5 GRN and 1 IND (Andrew Wilkie)

In SA, the ALP has held on despite a pretty swing to the Liberal Party as the swing was big in safe ALP and LIB seats but quite small in the marginals. The final make up in SA looks like 25 ALP, 18 LIB and 4 IND. The Upper House in SA looks as though it will be 4 ALP, 4 LIB, 1 GRN, 1 FF and 1 Dignity for Disability.


As I said, counting is still taking place and these results may change. The most likely change would be the last spot in SA Upper House as the ABC computer counts differently to the SAEC and D4D may not be ahead in certain parts of the count using the SAEC method.

Will update when I have more news.

SA and TAS elections: Live from the battle ground.

Tweets, pics, news etc from people at the scene.

2:15pm - ABC getting the tally room ready.

11:55am - Sarah Hanson-Young helping the Greens in Waite. (SA)












11:50am - Not much chatter happening at the moment but it is early days.

SA and TAS predictions

During my seat by seat preview of the Tasmanian election I ended up predicting 10 ALP 10 LIB and 5 GRN I will stick with that because I don't like changing predictions. in SA my prediction is that the ALP will just hold on but it seems like it's going to be very, very close.


Results will be posted here and tweeted when they are available.

South Australia Election - Upper House preferences.

Let's take a look at how some of the parties in the SA election are distributing preferences in the upper house.
(D4D = Dignity for Disability, FF = Family First, DLP = Democratic Labor Party)


ALP (Group C) - The Greens are first followed by Family First then Fair Land Tax and The Nats.  D4D is 5th, followed by a whole heap of independents and micros. The Libs are 3rd last with One Nation Last.

D4D (Group G) - First is David Winderlich's group followed by The Dems, FF and a heap of Independents and micros. The Greens, Labor and Liberal are all right towards the end but once again One Nation are in last place.

GRN (Group J) - Independents to start off. FREE Australia and D4D are pretty high. ALP is about halfway. LIB about 3/4s of the way down. FF and One Nation 2nd last and 3rd last respsectably. Trevor Grace is last of all.

FF (Group K) - Save RAH in top spot. Then the DLP, One Nation and The Shooters Party. D4D just before halfway, Libs just after halfway. Greens and a couple of Independents bring up the rear.

DLP (Gorup O) - A couple of Indys then FF and a couple of the Libs and a couple of ALP. The rest of the Libs and ALP are spread out further down. The Greens and a few more Indys are down the bottom.

LIB (Group S) - FF takes top prize here. Then Save RAH, Fair Land Tax and D4D. The Nats are halfway and The Greens are surprising high though past halfway. ALP 3rd last with One Nation last again.

NAT (Group W) - Fair Land Tax then DLP and Libs followed by ALP and D4D. The Greens are also quite high while United Party is last.

The big winners here are Dignity for Disability. I did a quick calculation and they got in in 11th place on a ton of preferences. It could be any of the smaller parties or an independent though depending on primary votes.