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Sunday, February 17, 2008
New Federal Pendulum
The number shown is the 2 party preferred vote. The margin is the number above 50, for example, a 2pp vote of 54.4% means the margin is 4.4%. Seats are arranged in safeness categories according to the Australian Electoral Commission's classification of safeness. "Safe" seats require a swing of over 10 per cent to change, "fairly safe" seats require a swing of between 6 and 10 per cent, while "marginal" seats require a swing of less than 6 per cent.
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Hi.We have just completed a detailed analysis of the 2007 Senate Election.
ReplyDeleteWe have been concerned about ta number of defects in the way in which the AEC counts the Australian Senate Elections.The system in place was designed to facilitate emailaccount process and is well and truly out of date.
WHAT IS WORST IS THAT IT DOES NOT REFLECT THE VOTERS INTENTIONS
There are two issues of concern
1.The way in which the Surplus transfer Value is calculated
2. The process used in distributing preferences allocated to candidates that are excluded during the count.
In each case the process adopted and currently in use distorts the outcome of the election.
Our analysis which has now been confirmed from three different independent sources shows that the Queensland Senate election denied the Australian Green's Party Representation. The Greens should have won the six seat. The fault is in the system that is used to count the vote.
The effect of the distortion in Te way in which the Australian senate count is done effects all parties. Analysis of the Victorian Senate indicated that the system could have denied the ALP a third seat bu giving the Greens an additional 7,000 votes above and beyond what they should have received in a more accurate counting system.
This issue has been raised with the Australian Parliament JSEM who has requested a review by the Australian Electoral commission.
More information:
http://melbcity.googlepages.com
Additional information can be found on the Australian Parliament web site. Submisison 51.
ReplyDeleteand Here