Monday, April 26, 2010

2007 election results if Australia used FPTP

I decided to take a look to see what the 2007 election results would have been if Australia used first-past-the-post voting. We used to use FPTP voting until 1918 when Billy Hughes introduced preferential voting as to not split the non-Labor vote between The Nationalists and The Country party.
The 2007 election saw the ALP win 83 seats,  LIB 55, NAT 10 (Coalition 65) and IND 2.
If we used FPTP the result would have been ALP 73, LIB 64, NAT 11 (Coalition 75) and IND 2. That's 10 seats less for Labor and the loss of the election.
Under first past the post Howard would have won Bennelong and we wouldn't have had to put up with Belinda Neal in Robertson.

(@GrogsGamut pointed out that people may have voted Labor instead of Greens under FPTP, while it's true they may have, we'll never know for sure. All this post is meant to do is show what would have happened under FPTP if the primary votes were exactly the same)


  1. Where was the extra indi?

  2. Re: Extra Indi - It was Solomon, it was a mistake. I marked it down under the Indis/Other, when it should have been Country Liberal Party.

  3. 喜樂的心是健康良藥,憂傷的靈使骨枯乾。........................................

  4. I think preferences are all well and good if you want to give them but they shouldn't be manditory- that is, it FPTP for each voter unless the voter themselves wants to preference. More far to the majority that way...

  5. More 'fair'...

  6. Warren Smith, the Princeton math Ph.D. behind, did an extensive analysis of this election.

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