Showing posts with label ryde by-election. Show all posts
Showing posts with label ryde by-election. Show all posts

Thursday, October 23, 2008

NSW Elections: Final results and some charts

The final results for the NSe by-elections are in the post below. Labor has held on in Lakemba and Cabramatta despite huge swings. The Liberals have won Ryde, while Peter Besseling has won Port Macquarie thanks to help from the Liberal party.

Cabramatta Primary vote and swing.


Lakemba Primary Vote and Swing


Port Macquarie Primary Vote and Swing
(Peter Besseling's swing is the swing compared to Rob Oakeshott's vote and is used for comparison)


Ryde Primary Vote and Swing

Friday, October 17, 2008

Ryde Polling Places

UNDIVIDED
PremisesAddressUnique Polling Place Name
Australian Air League HallSanta Rosa Park, RYDE NSW 2112

Santa Rosa
Brush Farm Corrective Services Academy66 Terry Road, Eastwood NSW 2122

(Fully Wheelchair Accessible)
Eastwood West
Denistone East Public SchoolBrabyn Street, Eastwood NSW 2122

(Fully Wheelchair Accessible)
Denistone East
Eastwood Baptist Church Hall3 First Avenue, Eastwood NSW 2122

Denistone
Eastwood Heights Public SchoolLincoln Street, Eastwood NSW 2122

(Fully Wheelchair Accessible)
Eastwood Heights
Eastwood Public SchoolRowe Street, Eastwood NSW 2122

(Fully Wheelchair Accessible)
Eastwood
Kent Road Public SchoolKent Road, Marsfield NSW 2122

Kent Road
Marsden High SchoolWinbourne Street, West Ryde NSW 2114

Denistone West
Meadowbank College Of TafeSee Street, Meadowbank NSW 2144

Meadowbank
Meadowbank Public SchoolThistle Street, Ryde NSW 2122

Ryde Heights
Morling College120 Herring Road, Macquarie Park NSW 2113

Lyon Park
North Ryde Public SchoolCoxs Road, North Ryde NSW 2113

Ryde North
Ryde Baptist Church HallDobson Crescent, Ryde NSW 2122

Ryde Central
Ryde College Of Tafe Banksia BuildingParkes Street, West Ryde NSW 2114

Parkes Street
Ryde HospitalDenistone Road, Eastwood NSW 2122

Ryde Hospital
Ryde Masonic Hall142 Blaxland Road, Ryde NSW 2122

Ryde
Ryde Public SchoolTucker Street, Ryde NSW 2122

Top Ryde
St Anthonys Parish Hall Marsfield54 Agincourt Road, Marsfield NSW 2122

Marsfield
The Living Way Church Hall85 North Road, Ryde NSW 2122

Water Tanks
Truscott Street Public SchoolTruscott Street, North Ryde NSW 2113

(Fully Wheelchair Accessible)
Truscott
West Ryde Public School6 Endeavour Street, West Ryde NSW 2114

West Ryde


Monday, October 13, 2008

A closer look at the NSW by-elections: Ryde

Former Member
Former Deputy-Premier and Minister for Transport, John Watkins.

Area
Extends between Parramatta and Lane Cove Rivers. It includes most of the suburb of Ryde, along with Meadowbank, Denistone, West Ryde, North Ryde and most of Eastwood and Marsfield. Also includes Macquarie University and the Macquarie Park office and industrial estate.

History
Ryde was first created in 1894, abolished in 1904, re-created in 1913 and used continuously until abolished again 1968. Back on the electoral map in 1981, it disappeared again in 1991 and re-appeared in its current form at the 1999 election.

Been held by both parties thorught it's history. Has been held by Labor since 1999.

Votes Since 1981
Labor's highest primary vote was in 1987 - 57%. Lowest was 44.1% in 1999.
Liberals highest was 45.9 in 1988. Lowest was 28.6% in 2007.

2007 2PP - 80.1%-39.9%

Candidates
Labor - Nicole Campbell - Has lived in Ryde since 1995. Contested Bennelong in the 2001 and 2004 Federal Elections and Epping at the 2007 Federal Election.
Liberal - Victor Dominello - Born and raised in Ryde. Victor is a lawyer and previously served on Ryde Council.
Greens - Lindsay Peters - Contested Epping at the 2007 state Election and Bennelong at the 2007 Federal Election.
Democrats - Peter Goldfinch - Contested Eyde at the 2007 election and Bennelong at the 2007 Federal Election.
Independent - Victor Taffa.

Prediction
Liberal gain. 10.1% swing needed and with the latest polls showing a whopping 24% swing this seat could easily go from a safe Labor seat to a safe Liberal seat just like that.

Sunday, October 12, 2008

NSW Government facing annihilation - Tavener Poll

A poll by tavener for the Sydney Morning Herald has found Labor is facing more than a 20% swing in Ryde at the upcoming by-election. A uniform swing (remembering swings are never uniform) of just half that amount at the next election would see the Liberals come storming into power.

Phillip Mithcell Tavener said "The poll shows that an enormous 41 per cent of those who say they preferred Labor in March 2007 now prefer Liberal"

"I suspect such rejection of a political party is virtually unheard of in a democratic community.

"The shift in preference from Labor to Liberal is dramatic and suggests that Labor has absolutely no chance of remaining in power at the next election without some extraordinary event occurring."

The results suggest a 2PP results of 64%-36% to the Liberal Party (a 24% swing%)

In the preferred premier stakes Barry O'Farrell won 44% to 32% with 24% undecided.

The poll also showed people think Mr Rees is a better premier than his predecessor, Morris Iemma. Despite this, 65% said the leadership change had made no impact on the way they feel about the Government.

Not all the news is good for Mr O'Farrell. Almost half of those polled rate his performance as fair or poor.
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