Thursday, October 23, 2008

U.S Presidential Election - If the Bradley effect comes in to play.

I decided to use CNN's election calculator and pick the winner of each state using latest polls taking 5 percentage points away from Obama's vote to see what would happen if the Bradlet effect comes in to play. The general thought is that it's about 7% but experts are divided as to whether the Bradley effect is still in play so I've gone for 5%. This is not my prediction or even scitentifically accurate, it's a rough guide to what may happen if the Bradley effect comes in to play.

Using date from pollster.com and factoring 5% for the Bradley effect we end up with 276 electoral votes to Obama (270 needed to win) and 262 for McCain.

All content that comes from Wikipedia is used under license. Terms available here