Monday, June 28, 2010

Federal Election Preview: Chifley

Preview by me. (Declaration: I know both the ALP and Greens candidates so I'll be sure to keep my preview balanced)

History
Chifley was created in 1969 and is named after former Prime Minister Ben Chifley. Chifley has always been a safe Labor seat with the lowest 2PP margin being 12.98% at the 2004 election. Roger Price is retiring this year after being the member for 26 years.
2007 Results                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       
CandidatePartyVote %Swing %
Roger PriceALP64.19+10.12
Jess DiazLiberals23.76-6.62
John ForresterGreens3.61-1.66
Dave VincentCDP3.42+1.21
Louise KedwellOne Nation1.47 -0.53
James CoganSocialist
Equity
1.33NEW
Evan JewellFF1.26-0.24
Wayne HylandIND0.60-0.24
Amarjit TandaIND0.36NEW
2PP
70.66%-29.34% Swing: 8.69%

Localities
Arndell Park,  Bidwill, Blackett,  Colebee,  Dean Park,  Dharruk,  Doonside,  Emerton,  Glendenning,  Hassall Grove, Hebersham,  Huntingwood,  Lethbridge Park,  Marayong,  Minchinbury,  Mount Druitt, Oakhurst,  Plumpton,  Rooty Hill,  Ropes Crossing,  Shalvey,  Shanes Park,  Tregear,  Whalan, Willmot,  Woodcroft  and  parts of  Eastern Creek, Blacktown, Quakers Hill, Schofields and Riverstone

Candidates
With Roger Price retiring the ALP has selected union official Ed Husic. Ed ran in Greenway in 2004 and was the victim of a Liberal Party flyer distribution similar to the 2007 Lindsay one. Despite it not coming out that the flyer was a fake Ed missed out on winning the seat by just 0.5%

Though it is STILL not official the Liberals are running David Barker. Barker is the son of Blacktown City councillor Jacqueline Donaldson who is part of the campaign to restore bus services the locals have been campaigning for.

Greens - Debbie Robertson has lived in the Mt Druitt area for over 20 years and has been a carer for 3 disabled sons for most of that time. She is a very active campaigner in the local community and is convenor of the Blacktown Greens.

No other candidates yet.

Prediction
Ed Husic will romp in. Chifley has always been and probably will always be a safe Labor seat.
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